Betting Lines
| Spread | WKU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +5 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | WKU -4.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WKU -3.3 (+1.7) | 156.6 (+8.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WKU -3.9 (+1.1) | 156.5 (+8.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WKU -3.4 (+1.6) | 154.5 (+10.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WKU -4.1 (+0.9) | 152.7 (+12.3) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2025 | WKU 87 – 79 EKU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | WKU 79 – 69 EKU |
| Nov 11, 2022 | WKU 66 – 60 EKU |
Game Analysis
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