Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | LBSU -700 SAC +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +10 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | LBSU -15.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LBSU -10.6 (-0.6) | 147.7 (+8.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LBSU -11.9 (-1.9) | 149.0 (+7.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LBSU -12.6 (-2.6) | 150.1 (+5.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LBSU -12.2 (-2.2) | 147.9 (+8.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | SAC 76 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 10-24 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 71.3 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#119) | -6.9 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#146) | -1.61 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#146) | -2.29 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#161) | 0.407 (#302) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 24.8% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.2% |
Game Analysis
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