Betting Lines
| Spread | LBSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | SAC +120 LBSU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SAC +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | SAC -4.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SAC -1.0 (+1.0) | 143.5 (+6.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SAC -3.1 (-1.1) | 146.0 (+4.0) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SAC -3.0 (-1.0) | 145.3 (+4.7) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SAC -3.1 (-1.1) | 144.0 (+6.0) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | LBSU 83 – 73 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.2 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#204) | -0.3 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.16 (#200) | 0.04 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#205) | 0.42 (#152) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#130) | 0.480 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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