Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | MIZ -320 WICH +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | MIZ -2.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (+16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MIZ -4.8 (+5.2) | 143.4 (+10.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -4.2 (+5.8) | 141.3 (+12.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -3.7 (+6.3) | 142.7 (+11.3) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -4.1 (+5.9) | 144.5 (+9.5) | 69% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2022 | MIZ 88 – 84 WICH |
| Nov 27, 2021 | WICH 61 – 55 MIZ |
| Dec 6, 2020 | MIZ 72 – 62 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 0-18 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-11 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L19 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.2 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 73.3 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#131) | 5.6 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#140) | 1.60 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#121) | 1.93 (#77) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#167) | 0.616 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 43.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 12.2% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 13.8% |
Game Analysis
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