Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MIZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +6 | 116 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -2.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.1 (-20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -1.7 (-4.3) | 133.2 (-17.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -0.4 (-6.4) | 137.7 (-21.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -0.0 (-6.0) | 137.6 (-21.6) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -0.6 (-6.6) | 136.8 (-20.8) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | MIZ 82 – 72 WICH |
| Nov 30, 2022 | MIZ 88 – 84 WICH |
| Dec 6, 2020 | MIZ 72 – 62 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MIZ | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 11-6 |
| Away | 2-10 | 3-5 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#274) | 3.5 (#115) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#183) | 1.48 (#71) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.11 (#180) | 2.02 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#199) | 0.623 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MIZ | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 25.3% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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