Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | WICH +110 MIZ -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +4 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | WICH -1.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -3.7 (-7.7) | 147.3 (+24.7) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -1.8 (-5.8) | 144.3 (+27.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -1.7 (-5.7) | 146.4 (+25.6) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -0.3 (-4.3) | 146.8 (+25.2) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | MIZ 82 – 72 WICH |
| Nov 27, 2021 | WICH 61 – 55 MIZ |
| Dec 6, 2020 | MIZ 72 – 62 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-9 | 16-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 5.1 (#81) | 9.9 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.14 (#94) | 2.45 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#85) | 3.77 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#79) | 0.588 (#65) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 52.6% |
| 3PT% | 26.0% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 1.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 60.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.3% | 45.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 28.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 62.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.8% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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