Betting Lines
| Spread | MIZ -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Under |
| Money | WICH +175 MIZ -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MIZ +10 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | MIZ -5.1 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (-21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MIZ -1.8 (-8.2) | 149.9 (-15.9) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MIZ -1.9 (-8.1) | 149.5 (-15.5) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MIZ -5.4 (-4.6) | 153.0 (-19.0) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | MIZ 82 – 72 WICH |
| Nov 30, 2022 | MIZ 88 – 84 WICH |
| Nov 27, 2021 | WICH 61 – 55 MIZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-6 | 16-10 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-2 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#189) | 10.3 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.56 (#105) | 2.04 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#108) | 3.53 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#135) | 0.708 (#19) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MIZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 49.6% |
| 3PT% | 40.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 40.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 57.0% |
| TOV% | 9.8% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 43.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 60.0% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 9.9% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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