Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | JOES -225 TEM +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -6.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -4.5 (+4.5) | 152.3 (-13.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -3.3 (+5.7) | 152.5 (-13.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -4.9 (+4.1) | 145.5 (-6.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -4.1 (+4.9) | 145.7 (-6.7) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | JOES 70 – 69 TEM |
| Dec 7, 2022 | TEM 70 – 60 JOES |
| Dec 11, 2021 | JOES 68 – 49 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 14-3 | 5-9 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 6.3 (#80) | -0.1 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#149) | 0.92 (#103) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.71 (#82) | 0.89 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#189) | 0.570 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 41.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.0% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.2% | 31.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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