Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | TEM -135 JOES +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +1 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -6.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.0 (-18.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -2.7 (-3.7) | 148.4 (-9.4) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -5.6 (-6.6) | 146.9 (-7.9) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -5.2 (-6.2) | 148.5 (-9.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -6.0 (-7.0) | 149.3 (-10.3) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | JOES 74 – 65 TEM |
| Dec 7, 2022 | TEM 70 – 60 JOES |
| Dec 11, 2021 | JOES 68 – 49 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 13-5 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.0 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#187) | -8.1 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#215) | -0.73 (#234) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#197) | -1.22 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.472 (#214) | 0.448 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 25.5% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 12.9% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 34.9% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.