Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +19 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -3.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-23.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -1.6 (+17.4) | 140.3 (-23.3) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -2.3 (+16.7) | 141.9 (-24.9) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -1.7 (+17.3) | 142.0 (-25.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -1.8 (+17.2) | 142.0 (-25.0) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | JOES 70 – 69 TEM |
| Dec 3, 2023 | JOES 74 – 65 TEM |
| Dec 7, 2022 | TEM 70 – 60 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 17-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-7 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-3 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#180) | 1.5 (#143) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#196) | 0.88 (#108) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#201) | 0.65 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#200) | 0.541 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.7% | 28.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 16.3% |
Game Analysis
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