Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEM +10 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -13.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (-23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -10.3 (-0.3) | 147.6 (-17.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -11.9 (-1.9) | 149.6 (-19.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -11.6 (-1.6) | 150.1 (-20.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -11.5 (-1.5) | 147.7 (-17.7) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | JOES 70 – 69 TEM |
| Dec 3, 2023 | JOES 74 – 65 TEM |
| Dec 11, 2021 | JOES 68 – 49 TEM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#141) | -6.4 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#194) | -1.67 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#153) | -2.59 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#163) | 0.432 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 25.5% |
Game Analysis
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