Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | RAD -500 ELON +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +10 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | RAD -13.0 (-3.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -10.9 (-0.9) | 144.9 (+9.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -9.2 (+0.8) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -9.7 (+0.3) | 146.8 (+7.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -9.5 (+0.5) | 146.6 (+7.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2022 | RAD 69 – 53 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RAD | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-12 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 4-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#159) | -6.4 (#292) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#193) | -0.12 (#196) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#186) | -0.57 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.505 (#168) | 0.487 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RAD | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 37.5% | 42.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 16.6% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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