Betting Lines
| Spread | RAD -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ELON +130 RAD -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ELON win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RAD +16 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | RAD -8.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RAD -6.4 (-9.6) | 142.5 (-20.5) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RAD -7.0 (-9.0) | 141.9 (-19.9) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RAD -5.9 (-10.1) | 143.0 (-21.0) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RAD -7.1 (-8.9) | 144.5 (-22.5) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | RAD 82 – 72 ELON |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ELON | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.8 | 68.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#341) | 3.3 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.91 (#360) | -0.98 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.95 (#361) | -1.80 (#272) |
| RPI | 0.330 (#345) | 0.435 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ELON | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 29.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
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