Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | IDST -350 LIN +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDST +6 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | IDST -16.4 (-10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IDST -9.4 (-3.4) | 129.4 (+16.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDST -9.4 (-3.4) | 131.8 (+14.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IDST -10.1 (-4.1) | 131.7 (+14.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDST -9.8 (-3.8) | 131.0 (+15.0) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 24, 2022 | LIN 77 – 76 IDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-10 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#166) | -10.1 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#293) | -0.49 (#231) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#268) | -0.93 (#239) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#322) | 0.476 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDST | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 36.4% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 41.5% |
| TOV% | 23.1% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.