Betting Lines
| Spread | IDST -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | LIN +110 IDST -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIN +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | LIN -3.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (+23.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIN -5.5 (-4.5) | 135.7 (+17.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIN -3.6 (-2.6) | 134.1 (+18.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIN -4.2 (-3.2) | 134.9 (+18.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIN -3.7 (-2.7) | 136.5 (+16.5) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | IDST 76 – 70 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIN | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#262) | -0.6 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#279) | -2.85 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#261) | -3.55 (#334) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#284) | 0.412 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIN | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 18.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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