Betting Lines
| Spread | MORE -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | MORE -125 UTC +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MORE +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | MORE -8.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (+34.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MORE -5.3 (+1.7) | 133.9 (+33.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MORE -5.6 (+1.4) | 132.9 (+34.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MORE -5.7 (+1.3) | 133.0 (+34.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MORE -4.6 (+2.4) | 138.3 (+28.7) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 15, 2024 | UTC 76 – 62 MORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MORE | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 76.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#196) | -3.3 (#238) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#131) | 0.34 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.52 (#157) | 0.07 (#185) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#131) | 0.490 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MORE | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.61 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 26.4% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.8% | 17.2% |
Game Analysis
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