Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UTC -800 MORE +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +14 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UTC -20.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -11.0 (+3.0) | 129.3 (+8.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -11.4 (+2.6) | 134.3 (+3.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -11.3 (+2.7) | 132.7 (+5.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -10.0 (+4.0) | 131.5 (+6.5) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2023 | MORE 87 – 80 UTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 12-5 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Streak | W5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 63.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 69.8 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#242) | -14.1 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#258) | -1.29 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.03 (#257) | -2.15 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.542 (#146) | 0.312 (#313) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTC | MORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 29.6% |
| 3PT% | 22.9% | 20.0% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.7% | 32.9% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 6.6% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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