I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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61–27 on winners spread MAE 10.5 90 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Stonehill @ Kentucky +24.9 142.1 91% 67–101 ✓
Radford @ James Madison +16.4 153.3 89% 73–76 ✓
UT Martin @ Eastern Kentucky — — — 80–74 —
SIU Edwardsville @ Nicholls +1.7 138.6 58% 60–51 ✗
Morehead State @ Penn State +14.7 140.0 86% 51–74 ✓
Davidson @ East Tennessee State -0.7 136.2 46% 68–70 ✗
Sacramento State @ Tulane +10.3 148.1 82% 57–92 ✓
Coppin State @ Miami (OH) +12.6 129.3 86% 48–76 ✓
Bellarmine @ Bowling Green +10.0 134.6 81% 85–67 ✗
Robert Morris @ Wisconsin +5.0 142.4 67% 68–78 ✓
Northwestern State @ North Florida +8.1 148.8 77% 74–80 ✓
Rider @ Duquesne +10.8 140.9 83% 58–77 ✓
Charleston Southern @ NC State +19.2 143.3 90% 53–87 ✓
Auburn @ St. Bonaventure -4.2 142.8 30% 77–60 ✓
Towson @ Wake Forest -0.9 136.8 45% 61–71 ✗
Harvard @ Massachusetts +4.7 152.7 64% 78–75 ✗
Long Beach State @ Michigan +14.8 155.8 87% 94–86 ✗
Jacksonville @ Pittsburgh +19.8 151.2 90% 56–107 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Saint Joseph's +17.9 139.0 89% 57–54 ✗
Fairfield @ Drexel +7.8 145.3 77% 47–65 ✓
Florida State @ Florida +3.8 154.9 59% 68–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Vanderbilt +5.7 136.2 70% 71–75 ✓
Cal Poly @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +1.1 134.6 56% 61–60 ✗
IU Indianapolis @ Elon -3.8 144.8 32% 72–86 ✗
South Carolina State @ Samford +7.5 147.6 74% 72–89 ✓
Oral Roberts @ Texas A&M +19.3 140.6 89% 66–74 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Arkansas +16.4 154.8 88% 78–72 ✗
UC Riverside @ North Carolina +16.2 145.7 88% 52–77 ✓
Mercer @ Alabama +19.8 154.1 90% 67–98 ✓
Valparaiso @ Illinois +15.7 129.2 86% 64–87 ✓
Arkansas State @ Iowa +22.3 165.2 91% 74–88 ✓
Southern @ Western Illinois -1.5 148.6 40% 80–88 ✗
UT Rio Grande Valley @ Oklahoma +24.9 149.1 91% 66–90 ✓
Alabama State @ Memphis +18.3 146.4 89% 75–92 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ TCU +25.2 144.0 91% 52–86 ✓
Missouri State @ Florida Gulf Coast +0.4 139.1 51% 70–61 ✗
UTSA @ Texas State +10.0 150.0 83% 62–72 ✓
Maryland @ Villanova +14.5 135.3 86% 40–57 ✓
Austin Peay @ UTEP +12.6 135.0 84% 63–71 ✓
Sam Houston @ Ole Miss +6.6 136.4 74% 67–70 ✓
Tennessee State @ Oregon +5.5 142.1 59% 67–92 ✓
Eastern Washington @ Stanford +10.8 156.6 84% 70–95 ✓
San Francisco @ Grand Canyon -0.4 140.3 54% 72–76 ✗
Wichita State @ Liberty +1.6 140.4 58% 66–83 ✓
Kansas City @ Colorado State +22.5 151.8 91% 61–84 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Diego State +5.9 132.8 75% 54–79 ✓
Le Moyne @ San Diego +18.7 140.4 90% 71–80 ✓
Portland State @ California Baptist +0.3 140.5 42% 66–63 ✗
UNLV @ Pepperdine +18.4 142.2 89% 82–68 ✗
Belmont @ Arizona +26.8 164.9 91% 68–100 ✓
South Carolina @ DePaul -8.1 136.4 21% 73–68 ✓
Washington @ Xavier +2.1 143.9 60% 74–71 ✗
Loyola Maryland @ Sacred Heart +4.2 146.3 68% 51–66 ✓
Wagner @ Seton Hall +17.3 135.2 88% 51–72 ✓
Washington State @ Mississippi State +2.3 140.0 61% 64–76 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Georgetown +8.5 136.9 77% 72–83 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Lipscomb +14.8 148.7 87% 81–106 ✓
Columbia @ Temple +15.7 146.1 88% 78–73 ✗
Cleveland State @ Eastern Michigan -5.1 144.1 27% 62–69 ✗
New Hampshire @ George Washington +9.5 144.5 82% 67–79 ✓
VMI @ Northern Arizona -4.0 140.6 32% 69–78 ✗
Northern Illinois @ Little Rock -4.1 145.5 32% 98–93 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Minnesota +11.2 146.0 83% 53–67 ✓
Presbyterian @ Northwestern State -8.4 143.7 19% 78–75 ✓
Southern Indiana @ La Salle +11.5 138.8 84% 78–79 ✓
Ball State @ Evansville +10.1 136.8 81% 50–74 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Ohio +17.3 150.0 89% 52–71 ✓
Princeton @ Monmouth +3.9 138.4 59% 82–57 ✗
Seattle U @ VCU +7.0 133.1 74% 56–60 ✓
Northwestern @ Rhode Island +2.1 136.9 59% 72–61 ✗
North Carolina Central @ Longwood +17.4 134.4 89% 66–73 ✓
Norfolk State @ San José State +4.9 131.4 70% 53–77 ✓
Coppin State @ Eastern Illinois +5.5 128.7 74% 46–48 ✓
Marist @ Binghamton +1.1 132.7 44% 59–82 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Maryland Eastern Shore -5.0 139.0 31% 80–83 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ Colgate -3.6 133.1 33% 52–59 ✗
New Orleans @ Loyola Chicago — — — 70–73 —
McNeese @ Western Carolina +7.4 141.6 73% 74–76 ✓
Oregon State @ Nebraska +4.8 137.7 70% 63–84 ✓
Purdue Fort Wayne @ South Dakota -4.1 152.5 32% 93–81 ✓
Winthrop @ IU Indianapolis -2.2 138.0 43% 74–61 ✓
Harvard @ Boston College +6.5 144.0 69% 64–73 ✓
Maine @ North Florida +0.9 143.6 51% 58–67 ✓
Lamar @ Pacific +0.5 142.5 51% 76–77 ✓
Cal Poly @ Portland State +11.0 140.9 83% 57–73 ✓
Hampton @ Florida Gulf Coast +8.4 142.2 78% 92–85 ✗
Bryant @ Florida Atlantic +19.8 145.7 90% 61–52 ✗
Howard @ Rutgers +8.2 138.1 79% 63–85 ✓
Queens University @ Fairfield +2.9 151.0 60% 69–63 ✗
Yale @ Weber State -1.6 131.3 42% 65–75 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.