Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | VAN -4000 CARK +1900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | VAN -9.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (+11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -8.7 (-4.7) | 137.0 (+9.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -5.7 (-1.7) | 136.2 (+9.8) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -7.5 (-3.5) | 136.3 (+9.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -7.2 (-3.2) | 136.1 (+9.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | VAN 83 – 72 CARK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VAN | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-11 |
| Home | 8-10 | 5-10 |
| Away | 1-9 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 80.3 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#288) | -6.5 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#206) | -2.07 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.35 (#256) | -2.67 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.605 (#85) | 0.292 (#321) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VAN | CARK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 44.1% |
| TOV% | 21.3% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 39.0% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.3% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.6% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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