I've never done bad things. "Ashes to Ashes" - David Bowie
Prudential Center · November 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread HALL -20.5 Home covered
O/U 127.5 Under
Money HALL -4500 / WAG +1550
Model Predictions
Spread Total HALL win
Actual HALL +21 123 Won
Massey HALL -19.9 (+1.1) — —
Massey Totals — 132.3 (-9.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 99% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 100% ✓
Baseline Plus ML HALL -18.4 (+2.6) 135.7 (-12.7) 88% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ HALL -18.2 (+2.8) 135.3 (-12.3) 89% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML HALL -17.3 (+3.7) 135.2 (-12.2) 88% ✓
Baseline ML HALL -21.0 (+0.0) 135.1 (-12.1) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 8, 2025 HALL 68 – 61 WAG
Nov 16, 2024 HALL 54 – 28 WAG
Nov 20, 2022 HALL 82 – 44 WAG
Dec 2, 2021 HALL 85 – 63 WAG
Dec 8, 2020 HALL 78 – 45 WAG

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings HALL WAG
Overall 25-12 17-16
Conference 13-7 7-9
Home 17-4 7-5
Away 5-6 9-10
Neutral 3-2 1-1
Last 5 3-0 0-2
Streak W5 L1
Avg Pts For 73.8 62.0
Avg Pts Against 69.9 64.1
Massey 10.9 (#22) -0.2 (#181)
Bradley-Terry 1.85 (#39) -0.99 (#262)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.61 (#46) -1.26 (#251)
RPI 0.722 (#32) 0.438 (#238)
Shooting & Four Factors HALL WAG
FG% 53.0% 35.2%
3PT% 31.4% 31.1%
REB / G 40.3 35.5
OREB / G 11.3 12.0
AST / TO 1.05 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.7% 41.0%
TOV% 19.4% 16.0%
ORB% 37.8% 28.6%
FT Rate 33.9% 13.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.1% 51.4%
Opp TOV% 22.2% 17.0%
DRB% 74.4% 65.3%
Opp FT Rate 20.8% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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