Betting Lines
| Spread | BALL -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | EVAN +110 BALL +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EVAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EVAN +24 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | EVAN -12.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EVAN -10.1 (+13.9) | 136.8 (-12.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EVAN -13.3 (+10.7) | 135.8 (-11.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EVAN -13.6 (+10.4) | 136.0 (-12.0) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | EVAN 64 – 52 BALL |
| Dec 21, 2024 | BALL 80 – 43 EVAN |
| Dec 10, 2022 | BALL 88 – 69 EVAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EVAN | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 72.7 |
| Massey | 3.4 (#112) | 0.2 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#64) | 0.53 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.12 (#70) | 0.70 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#249) | 0.500 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EVAN | BALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.5% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.43 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 13.3% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 39.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.7% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 81.5% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 7.6% | 10.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.