Betting Lines
| Spread | WCU -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WCU -225 MCN +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +2 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | WCU -7.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WCU -7.4 (-5.4) | 141.6 (+8.4) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WCU -8.1 (-6.1) | 137.4 (+12.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WCU -5.1 (-3.1) | 137.5 (+12.5) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2022 | WCU 88 – 69 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WCU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 30-4 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 17-1 |
| Home | 12-3 | 18-0 |
| Away | 10-6 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#54) | 8.5 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.10 (#5) | 2.61 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.22 (#17) | 4.26 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.807 (#10) | 0.812 (#8) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WCU | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.0% | 47.1% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 2.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 9.2% | 7.6% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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