Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | MCN -110 WCU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WCU +19 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | MCN -9.3 (-28.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.0 (+34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MCN -3.4 (-22.4) | 133.5 (+23.5) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -4.6 (-23.6) | 131.3 (+25.7) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -2.5 (-21.5) | 133.2 (+23.8) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | WCU 76 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#234) | -3.3 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#216) | -0.74 (#256) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#216) | -1.04 (#257) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#170) | 0.458 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 30.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 28.3% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 36.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 19.5% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 4.7% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.0% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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