Betting Lines
| Spread | NCSU -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | NCSU -8000 CHSO +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCSU +34 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | NCSU -26.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCSU -19.2 (+14.8) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCSU -25.2 (+8.8) | 140.3 (-0.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCSU -21.2 (+12.8) | 140.3 (-0.3) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | NCSU 95 – 61 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCSU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-15 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 10-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#94) | -13.4 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#102) | -3.49 (#359) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.76 (#85) | -6.37 (#360) |
| RPI | 0.585 (#96) | 0.083 (#359) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCSU | CHSO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 12.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 44.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 12.8% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 82.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.1% | 40.7% |
Game Analysis
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