Mississippi State
Bulldogs
76
–
64
FINAL
Neutral
Basketball Hall of Fame Tip-Off
Washington State
Cougars
Betting Lines
| Spread | MSST -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.0 Over |
| Money | MSST -345 WSU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MSST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSST +12 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MSST -3.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (-0.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MSST -1.9 (+10.1) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MSST -2.3 (+9.7) | 140.0 (+0.0) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MSST -1.8 (+10.2) | 136.4 (+3.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MSST -1.6 (+10.4) | 139.6 (+0.4) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MSST | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-4 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 66.7 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#26) | 6.8 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#24) | 1.43 (#67) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#23) | 2.77 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.972 (#1) | 0.559 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MSST | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 54.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 44.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 58.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 42.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 30.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 36.5% | 38.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.