Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | UNF -250 NWST +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -13.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.9 (-3.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -6.2 (-0.2) | 146.4 (+7.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -8.1 (-2.1) | 148.8 (+5.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -8.3 (-2.3) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -8.0 (-2.0) | 149.8 (+4.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#302) | -11.4 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#282) | -2.61 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#328) | -3.83 (#346) |
| RPI | 0.329 (#302) | 0.302 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.0% | 37.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 28.4% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 14.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 43.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 61.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.7% | 36.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.