Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -40.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +34 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -36.3 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (-7.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -28.8 (+5.2) | 143.3 (-5.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -25.2 (+8.8) | 144.0 (-6.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -35.1 (-1.1) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -36.1 (-2.1) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2022 | TCU 88 – 43 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 1-30 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 1-17 |
| Home | 12-4 | 1-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 0-22 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 55.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#18) | -15.2 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#61) | -1.30 (#288) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.64 (#42) | -1.92 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#112) | 0.465 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 54.1% | 34.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.2% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 45.7 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.1% | 36.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 22.8% |
| ORB% | 45.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 62.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 78.0% | 52.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.6% | 32.6% |
Game Analysis
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