Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -32.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -10000 MVSU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +45 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -24.4 (+20.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -24.3 (+20.7) | 134.1 (-3.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -20.4 (+24.6) | 131.1 (-0.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -21.9 (+23.1) | 131.8 (-0.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -25.2 (+19.8) | 133.5 (-2.5) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | TCU 86 – 52 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-4 | 4-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#98) | -15.2 (#354) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.50 (#71) | -1.89 (#316) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#23) | -2.31 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#175) | 0.424 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 36.3% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 39.4 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 40.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 25.7% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 64.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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