Betting Lines
| Spread | MINN -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MINN -1100 UPST +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MINN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MINN +14 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MINN -14.0 (+0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-30.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MINN -10.5 (+3.5) | 141.0 (-21.0) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MINN -11.2 (+2.8) | 146.0 (-26.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MINN -13.1 (+0.9) | 148.3 (-28.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MINN -12.3 (+1.7) | 146.5 (-26.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MINN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 5-11 |
| Home | 16-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.0 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 74.8 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#128) | -2.5 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#237) | 0.36 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#205) | -0.42 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#147) | 0.674 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MINN | UPST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 26.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.52 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 13.9% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 22.4% |
| FT Rate | 42.1% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.4% | 56.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 57.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.3% | 32.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.