Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | PRST -700 CP +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +16 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -16.8 (-0.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-14.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -11.5 (+4.5) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -11.0 (+5.0) | 140.9 (-10.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -11.5 (+4.5) | 140.6 (-10.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -10.9 (+5.1) | 139.3 (-9.3) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2022 | CP 72 – 49 PRST |
| Dec 12, 2021 | CP 61 – 58 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 0-20 |
| Home | 11-2 | 3-11 |
| Away | 5-11 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 63.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 10.3 (#28) | -6.5 (#293) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.24 (#4) | -1.01 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.73 (#8) | -1.38 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#72) | 0.279 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.8% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.68 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 13.0% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 15.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 62.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 57.7% |
Game Analysis
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