Betting Lines
| Spread | CP -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | CP -110 PRST +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +23 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | PRST -0.5 (+23.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (-26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -1.4 (+24.4) | 142.3 (-21.3) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CP -1.2 (+21.8) | 143.4 (-22.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CP -0.8 (+22.2) | 144.6 (-23.6) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CP -0.9 (+22.1) | 144.5 (-23.5) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | PRST 73 – 57 CP |
| Dec 12, 2021 | CP 61 – 58 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CP | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-25 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 1-18 | 6-11 |
| Home | 6-11 | 6-7 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 59.4 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.3 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#240) | 1.9 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#234) | 0.56 (#127) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.69 (#229) | 0.77 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#233) | 0.575 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CP | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.51 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 17.5% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 46.0% |
Game Analysis
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