Betting Lines
| Spread | PRST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 127.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CP +3 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | PRST -4.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 120.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRST -2.4 (-5.4) | 130.6 (-11.6) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRST -2.1 (-5.1) | 130.5 (-11.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRST -2.5 (-5.5) | 129.8 (-10.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRST -2.3 (-5.3) | 130.5 (-11.5) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | PRST 73 – 57 CP |
| Dec 11, 2022 | CP 72 – 49 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 2-12 |
| Home | 7-7 | 4-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.6 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#302) | -7.9 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#332) | -2.33 (#330) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.68 (#334) | -1.94 (#278) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#315) | 0.374 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 34.0% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.53 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 38.1% | 44.4% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.6% | 23.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.8% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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