Oh workers can you stand it, oh tell me how you can? Will you be a lousy scab or will you be a man? "Which Side Are You On?" - Pete Seeger
Stroh Center · November 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BGSU -3.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money BGSU -150 / BELL +160
Model Predictions
Spread Total BGSU win
Actual BELL +18 152 Lost
Massey BGSU -14.0 (-32.0)
Massey Totals 135.0 (+17.0)
Bradley-Terry 93%
Weighted B-T 97%
Baseline Plus ML BGSU -10.7 (-28.7) 137.0 (+15.0) 82%
Baseline ML BGSU -11.1 (-29.1) 134.9 (+17.1) 81%
Baseline Tuned ML BGSU -10.0 (-28.0) 134.6 (+17.4) 81%
Efficiency Plus ML BGSU -7.2 (-25.2) 138.8 (+13.2) 74%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 23, 2024 BELL 8068 BGSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BGSU BELL
Overall 20-14 8-23
Conference 10-8 4-12
Home 12-5 6-7
Away 5-7 2-16
Neutral 3-2 0-0
Last 5 2-1 0-3
Streak L2 L2
Avg Pts For 72.7 67.5
Avg Pts Against 72.1 76.8
Massey 0.3 (#172) -4.9 (#270)
Bradley-Terry -0.37 (#204) -1.41 (#295)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.88 (#226) -2.43 (#308)
RPI 0.394 (#278) 0.462 (#220)
Shooting & Four Factors BGSU BELL
FG% 45.8% 41.5%
3PT% 27.3% 33.8%
REB / G 38.0 27.3
OREB / G 8.7 7.3
AST / TO 0.86 1.00
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.8% 47.8%
TOV% 17.3% 18.7%
ORB% 25.7% 21.0%
FT Rate 18.6% 11.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.6% 59.1%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 19.8%
DRB% 77.2% 66.7%
Opp FT Rate 17.4% 21.6%

Game Analysis

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