Betting Lines
| Spread | BGSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | BELL +155 BGSU -185 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BELL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BELL +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | BELL -1.3 (+10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BGSU -0.6 (+12.6) | 147.6 (+0.4) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BELL -1.4 (+10.6) | 147.8 (+0.2) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BELL -0.7 (+11.3) | 144.9 (+3.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BGSU -1.7 (+13.7) | 144.0 (+4.0) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | BELL 85 – 67 BGSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BELL | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 8-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-8 |
| Away | 0-16 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.3 | 75.4 |
| Massey | -10.2 (#328) | -5.2 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.02 (#360) | -1.63 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.35 (#357) | -2.68 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.309 (#352) | 0.352 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BELL | BGSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 48.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 28.2 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 22.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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