Betting Lines
| Spread | BING -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | BING -138 MRST +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +23 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -0.0 (+23.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BING -0.5 (+22.5) | 134.1 (+6.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BING -1.1 (+21.9) | 132.7 (+8.3) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BING -0.8 (+22.2) | 130.2 (+10.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BING -0.8 (+22.2) | 132.2 (+8.8) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | MRST 69 – 51 BING |
| Nov 13, 2022 | BING 78 – 75 MRST |
| Dec 9, 2021 | MRST 64 – 51 BING |
| Dec 6, 2020 | MRST 64 – 60 BING |
| Dec 5, 2020 | MRST 68 – 65 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-15 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 62.2 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#183) | 8.7 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#73) | 2.35 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#79) | 3.45 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.621 (#76) | 0.536 (#144) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.8% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 16.1% | 12.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 42.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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