Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +13 | 115 | Lost |
| Massey | BING -3.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -0.0 (-13.0) | 140.6 (-25.6) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BING -2.4 (-15.4) | 141.7 (-26.7) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | BING -2.2 (-15.2) | 142.2 (-27.2) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BING -1.3 (-14.3) | 142.8 (-27.8) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 29, 2024 | MRST 69 – 51 BING |
| Nov 18, 2023 | BING 82 – 59 MRST |
| Nov 13, 2022 | BING 78 – 75 MRST |
| Dec 6, 2020 | MRST 64 – 60 BING |
| Dec 5, 2020 | MRST 68 – 65 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-17 | 14-16 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 7-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#249) | -2.9 (#231) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#298) | -0.79 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#299) | -1.14 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#281) | 0.446 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 14.5% | 14.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 65.6% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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