Betting Lines
| Spread | MRST -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | MRST -300 BING +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRST +18 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -7.2 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (-14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRST -6.4 (+11.6) | 132.7 (-12.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRST -6.1 (+11.9) | 134.6 (-14.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRST -5.8 (+12.2) | 134.9 (-14.9) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRST -7.0 (+11.0) | 133.8 (-13.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | BING 82 – 59 MRST |
| Nov 13, 2022 | BING 78 – 75 MRST |
| Dec 9, 2021 | MRST 64 – 51 BING |
| Dec 6, 2020 | MRST 64 – 60 BING |
| Dec 5, 2020 | MRST 68 – 65 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRST | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 7-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#238) | -6.9 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#117) | -0.44 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#163) | -0.94 (#236) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#159) | 0.473 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRST | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 39.3% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 24.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.0% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 12.7% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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