Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP +150 UNLV -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +14 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | PEPP -24.9 (-38.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -22.1 (-36.1) | 140.5 (+9.5) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -24.0 (-38.0) | 142.3 (+7.7) | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -18.4 (-32.4) | 142.2 (+7.8) | 89% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | UNLV 80 – 59 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 9-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 69.8 |
| Massey | 8.8 (#42) | -7.3 (#305) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#174) | -1.35 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#160) | -2.09 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.421 (#251) | 0.263 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.2% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 41.3 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.9% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 84.9% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.5% | 9.5% |
Game Analysis
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