Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNLV -1800 PEPP +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +21 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | UNLV -11.9 (+9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.3 (-23.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -12.4 (+8.6) | 154.9 (-15.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -11.7 (+9.3) | 153.7 (-14.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -10.4 (+10.6) | 152.8 (-13.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNLV -12.0 (+9.0) | 151.2 (-12.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | UNLV 82 – 68 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 13-22 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#130) | -3.3 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#186) | -1.28 (#281) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.08 (#185) | -2.41 (#297) |
| RPI | 0.501 (#183) | 0.441 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | PEPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 5.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 18.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.3% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 70.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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