Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | TA&M -4000 ORU +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -23.7 (-15.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -15.1 (-7.1) | 144.3 (-4.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -19.3 (-11.3) | 140.6 (-0.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -22.8 (-14.8) | 142.2 (-2.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -23.3 (-15.3) | 143.1 (-3.1) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 15.5 (#10) | 0.6 (#168) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.77 (#1) | -1.58 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.38 (#1) | -2.38 (#305) |
| RPI | 0.767 (#14) | 0.062 (#360) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 45.0 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 16.3 | 7.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.79 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 12.2% | 10.8% |
| ORB% | 41.9% | 16.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 15.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.