Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | JMU -400 RAD +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +3 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -25.7 (-22.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -15.7 (-12.7) | 152.8 (-3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -16.4 (-13.4) | 153.3 (-4.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -19.2 (-16.2) | 154.0 (-5.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -20.0 (-17.0) | 154.7 (-5.7) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | JMU 79 – 70 RAD |
| Nov 30, 2020 | JMU 67 – 59 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-4 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 5-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 8-5 |
| Away | 12-2 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 4-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.9 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 12.3 (#17) | -4.6 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.08 (#6) | 0.06 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.27 (#15) | -0.05 (#174) |
| RPI | 0.788 (#11) | 0.593 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 38.1% |
| 3PT% | 42.9% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 0.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 43.1% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.3% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 38.0% | 28.4% |
Game Analysis
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