Betting Lines
| Spread | JMU -9.0 Push |
| O/U | 134.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JMU +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | JMU -9.9 (-0.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.8 (+27.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JMU -8.8 (+0.2) | 131.6 (+17.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JMU -7.2 (+1.8) | 132.2 (+16.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JMU -7.8 (+1.2) | 131.1 (+17.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JMU -9.2 (-0.2) | 130.9 (+18.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2023 | JMU 76 – 73 RAD |
| Nov 30, 2020 | JMU 67 – 59 RAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JMU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#162) | -4.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#110) | -0.91 (#252) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.82 (#130) | -0.87 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.565 (#75) | 0.453 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JMU | RAD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 38.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 43.9% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 25.3% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 16.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 27.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.