Betting Lines
| Spread | MICH -15.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Over |
| Money | MICH -1400 LBSU +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +8 | 180 | Lost |
| Massey | MICH -17.9 (-25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.6 (+13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MICH -15.4 (-23.4) | 156.1 (+23.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MICH -14.8 (-22.8) | 155.8 (+24.2) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MICH -18.4 (-26.4) | 157.5 (+22.5) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MICH -16.3 (-24.3) | 157.6 (+22.4) | 86% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MICH | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-15 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L9 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#15) | 3.6 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.51 (#22) | 0.56 (#134) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.69 (#22) | 1.02 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#79) | 0.503 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MICH | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.8% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 39.7 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.61 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 62.1% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 34.7% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 25.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.2% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 36.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.