Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.0 Over |
| Money | TEM -900 COLU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | TEM -23.2 (-28.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -16.7 (-21.7) | 149.7 (+1.3) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -15.7 (-20.7) | 146.1 (+4.9) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -18.4 (-23.4) | 145.2 (+5.8) | 86% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -17.9 (-22.9) | 149.3 (+1.7) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEM | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-20 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 4-10 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | 6.7 (#64) | -7.7 (#307) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#9) | -2.37 (#341) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.82 (#20) | -3.38 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#194) | 0.286 (#327) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEM | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.5% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 39.5% |
| TOV% | 12.0% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 35.8% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.3% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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