Sometimes we're not prepared for adversity. "Mercy, Mercy, Mercy" - The Cannonball Adderley Quartet
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · November 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 145.5 Under
Money CBU -175 / PRST +180
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual PRST +3 129 Lost
Massey PRST -2.2 (-0.8) — —
Massey Totals — 138.2 (-9.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 20% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 8% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -0.3 (-3.3) 140.5 (-11.5) 42% ✓
Baseline ML CBU -1.8 (-4.8) 138.0 (-9.0) 50% ✓
Baseline Plus ML PRST -2.7 (-0.3) 135.8 (-6.8) 37% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 23, 2022 PRST 74 – 72 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU PRST
Overall 16-17 17-15
Conference 8-12 8-10
Home 11-7 11-2
Away 4-9 5-11
Neutral 1-1 1-2
Last 5 1-0 2-0
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.1 70.5
Avg Pts Against 67.1 72.7
Massey -0.7 (#193) 10.3 (#28)
Bradley-Terry 0.25 (#156) 3.24 (#4)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.26 (#164) 4.73 (#8)
RPI 0.375 (#280) 0.629 (#72)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU PRST
FG% 48.1% 41.7%
3PT% 34.6% 26.8%
REB / G 36.0 34.5
OREB / G 12.0 11.0
AST / TO 1.18 0.68
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 56.5% 46.5%
TOV% 16.8% 13.9%
ORB% 37.5% 28.6%
FT Rate 35.2% 32.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 44.7% 52.9%
Opp TOV% 15.5% 22.4%
DRB% 68.6% 73.4%
Opp FT Rate 26.3% 20.2%

Game Analysis

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