Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Dale E. and Sarah Ann Fowler Events Center · December 23, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread CBU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money CBU -275 / PRST +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total CBU win
Actual PRST +2 146 Lost
Massey CBU -7.4 (-9.4) — —
Massey Totals — 146.1 (-0.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 74% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 80% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CBU -6.8 (-8.8) 142.8 (+3.2) 71% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CBU -6.2 (-8.2) 141.7 (+4.3) 73% ✗
Baseline ML CBU -6.4 (-8.4) 142.8 (+3.2) 72% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CBU -5.8 (-7.8) 143.9 (+2.1) 69% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 18, 2023 PRST 66 – 63 CBU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CBU PRST
Overall 17-16 12-19
Conference 8-10 6-11
Home 13-5 6-7
Away 4-8 5-9
Neutral 1-3 1-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L4
Avg Pts For 66.8 73.7
Avg Pts Against 65.9 78.2
Massey 0.2 (#169) -2.4 (#225)
Bradley-Terry 0.11 (#166) -0.08 (#186)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.14 (#165) -0.24 (#190)
RPI 0.472 (#225) 0.531 (#123)
Shooting & Four Factors CBU PRST
FG% 41.6% 41.7%
3PT% 31.7% 31.7%
REB / G 38.5 29.5
OREB / G 11.7 9.6
AST / TO 1.02 0.94
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 47.9%
TOV% 18.5% 18.3%
ORB% 31.8% 26.3%
FT Rate 18.3% 29.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.4% 54.8%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 22.6%
DRB% 77.2% 65.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 43.1%

Game Analysis

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