Betting Lines
| Spread | GTWN -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
| Money | GTWN -420 MSM +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GTWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | GTWN -14.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GTWN -10.1 (+0.9) | 136.6 (+18.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GTWN -9.3 (+1.7) | 136.0 (+19.0) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GTWN -8.5 (+2.5) | 136.9 (+18.1) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GTWN -9.0 (+2.0) | 134.4 (+20.6) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2024 | GTWN 79 – 51 MSM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GTWN | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 9-11 |
| Home | 7-12 | 8-5 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -0.8 (#195) | -6.9 (#301) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.18 (#356) | -1.41 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.96 (#348) | -2.28 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.238 (#343) | 0.222 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GTWN | MSM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 41.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 25.9% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 38.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 44.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.3% | 30.6% |
Game Analysis
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