Betting Lines
| Spread | DUQ -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | DUQ -1200 RID +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUQ +19 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | DUQ -13.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (-8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DUQ -9.7 (+9.3) | 139.7 (-4.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUQ -10.8 (+8.2) | 140.9 (-5.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUQ -13.1 (+5.9) | 141.6 (-6.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DUQ -12.3 (+6.7) | 142.7 (-7.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2021 | DUQ 73 – 61 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 5-6 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#134) | -2.2 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#111) | -0.43 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#106) | -0.52 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.622 (#75) | 0.594 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 35.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 39.8% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 35.9% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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