Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | M-OH -800 COPP +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | M-OH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | M-OH +28 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -21.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (-7.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -12.5 (+15.5) | 124.9 (-0.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | M-OH -12.6 (+15.4) | 129.3 (-5.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | M-OH -12.6 (+15.4) | 129.0 (-5.0) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -13.5 (+14.5) | 130.6 (-6.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | M-OH | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 2-27 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 1-13 |
| Home | 9-6 | 2-8 |
| Away | 6-10 | 0-17 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 0-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L13 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 57.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#263) | -17.4 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.45 (#344) | -2.71 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.75 (#344) | -4.06 (#350) |
| RPI | 0.292 (#321) | 0.260 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | M-OH | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 33.3% |
| 3PT% | 39.5% | 22.4% |
| REB / G | 29.5 | 24.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 37.3% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 18.0% | 19.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
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