Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -8.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Under |
| Money | VCU -400 SEA +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +4 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -11.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -8.1 (-4.1) | 132.0 (-16.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -7.0 (-3.0) | 133.1 (-17.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -6.6 (-2.6) | 133.4 (-17.4) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -8.6 (-4.6) | 134.4 (-18.4) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-14 | 23-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L1 | W4 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 73.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#237) | -5.2 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#176) | 0.04 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#162) | 0.90 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.456 (#227) | 0.558 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 21.2% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.59 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 25.1% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 27.4% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 37.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 42.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 74.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 18.0% |
Game Analysis
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